Sports wagering can be quite profitable if anyone know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that smart money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a excellent case in point. I actually analyzed often the West Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West Las vegas had often the edge in the match. However , We also understood that there were a lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they carry out not wager on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:
West California or Louisville
This online game possesses all the signs of being one of the very best games associated with the year, along with both teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s activity was a classic, having Western Virginia coming backside from being down massive in the final one fourth to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the action appear like this year?
In the event that this match were turning into played from a new basic field, West Las vegas would probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since often the game is in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if To Love Info makes sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost due to the fact April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they dropped to Las vegas Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 PATH games.
All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt this scales in favor of WVU intended for tonight’s online game. Plus, the included bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not seem like substantially, but in a in close proximity match-up similar to this, that more point will certainly make the change between some sort of push together with a loss.
But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS inside their final 10 home games.
Plus if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at your home since 12 18, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. some points every game at your home, while hitting only giving up 15. 7 points for every game at home. In case a person decided not to do the figures, that means considering his or her last home damage they’ve averaged beating their particular competitors by means of about thirty four things per game.
Furthermore outstanding, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, by simply 13 items per sport at home considering 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
Here’s the way…
Many of those stats were established during the 2006 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already had recent games through which they also have only scored 36, 12, 24 points. These types of video games weren’t against Oh Stycken. or Michigan. That they were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
In essence that will this is still some sort of close video game to call. Although what I look to get is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to mid 20’s. My honest endorsement is definitely to lay off this game and certainly not guarantee at all. There usually are better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut positive aspects.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Va had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s border has not been so big which they can still win following producing so many mistakes. By means of not betting on this video game, people really serious concerning sports betting saved money these people can offer better work with on approaching games.